Conf = B1G ------ State = A
Mascot = Nittany Lio ------ Coach = Jeff TambroniGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.8090744 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 92.4) 18-14 207 H Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 92.6) 13-14 214 A Princeton Ivy (15- 2, 99.4) 13- 7 221 A Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 93.5) 11-12 228 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 6, 96.6) 17- 7 307 H Cornell Ivy (11- 5, 97.8) 19- 7 314 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 98.4) 8-10 321 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.3) 10- 6 328 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.5) 13- 6 404 A Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 6, 96.3) 10-11 411 H Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.1) 8- 9 417 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 93.8) 16- 8 430 N Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.3) 8- 6 502 N Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 6, 96.3) 16- 8 509 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 4, 97.4) 10- 6 517 N Princeton Ivy (15- 2, 99.4) 10-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Colgate 18-14 4 7 - -3.00 207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00 214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.57 221 A Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.34 228 H Yale 17- 7 10 3 + 3.77 307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 1 ++ 5.02 314 N North Carolina 8-10 -2 0 - -2.46 321 H Maryland 10- 6 4 2 1.53 328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.61 404 A Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 1 - -2.60 411 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.71 417 A Rutgers 16- 8 8 4 + 2.97 430 N Maryland 8- 6 2 1 0.50 502 N Johns Hopkins 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.43 509 H Army West Point 10- 6 4 2 1.65 517 N Princeton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.40UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00 411 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.71 221 A Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.34 201 H Colgate 18-14 4 7 - -3.00 314 N North Carolina 8-10 -2 0 - -2.46 404 A Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 1 - -2.60 517 N Princeton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.57 307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 1 ++ 5.02 328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.61 502 N Johns Hopkins 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.43 228 H Yale 17- 7 10 3 + 3.77 417 A Rutgers 16- 8 8 4 + 2.97
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.83 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.71 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6975 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .6247 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 13.3 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 22 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 10 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 50. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7